SYDNEY (XFN-ASIA) - The US dollar was higher against the yen here and softer against the euro with trading largely confined to a narrow range given a holiday in Japan today and with China out over the remainder of the week, dealers said.
At 1.43 pm Sydney (0343 GMT), the dollar was at 119.52 yen from 119.37 in Sydney morning trade while the euro was at 1.3645 usd from 1.3627 earlier.
CMC Markets’ chief analyst Ashraf Laidi noted the only short term obstacle for the euro is an unexpected defeat by French presidential candidate Nicolas Sarkozy , the preferred choice of financial markets.
“Eurozone officials may start to express words of concerns in the event that euro appreciation picks up the pace (1.3750 usd before end of next week), but the markets’ increased acceptance of the odds of a Federal Reserve easing by the fourth quarter as well as central banks’ continued euro buying on the periodic dips will further cement the currency’s climb,” Laidi said.
Meanwhile, the analyst said that although Friday’s US gross domestic product (GDP) data for the March quarter did not contain the trade figures, the extent of the growth slowdown highlights the contrasts between US and euro zone growth and monetary policy.
US GDP for the March quarter rose at an annual rate of just 1.3 pct, the slowest pace in four years and followed the 2.5 pct year-on-year growth to the December quarter.
“Our calls for a June Fed interest rate cut remain cemented by the protracted slowdown in housing, as well as the continued decline in sectoral employment payrolls as seen in the three-month moving averages in services, manufacturing, construction and retail,” Laidi said.
Sydney 1.43 pm (0343 GMT) vs Sydney 10.00 am (0000 GMT)
US dollar
119.52 yen vs 119.37 yen
1.2045 sfr vs 1.2065 sfr
Euro
1.3645 usd vs 1.3627 usd
163.02 yen vs 162.59 yen
1.6438 sfr vs 1.6437 sfr
0.6836 stg vs 0.6837 stg
Sterling
1.9964 usd vs 1.9933 usd
238.56 yen vs 238.02 yen
2.4039 sfr vs 2.4052 sfr
Australian dollar
0.8282 usd vs 0.8271 usd
0.4149 stg vs 0.4150 stg
98.965 yen vs 98.750 yen
New Zealand dollar
0.7390 usd vs 0.7383 usd
paul.daniel@xfn.com